Author Archena Posted on November 2, 2024November 2, 2024Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t

I considered just dumping the blog below this one because it is from last week and I didn’t get around to posting it on time but it shows my work and how I decide what to review when I’m looking at polls. Aggregators like Real Clear Politics are useful because they’ve already hunted down all the wild polls, but averaging is just dumb. I will ignore the average. There are so few good enough polls available right now that I … Continue reading “Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t”

Author Archena Posted on August 15, 2024August 15, 2024Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , ,

Will Harris Hold Onto Her Lead?

July 21, 2024: Democrats: Yay, we have a candidate that isn’t Biden! July 22, 2024: Democrats: Oh, our candidate is Harris. Yay? August 6, 2024: Democrats: Crap. Okay, I’m going to say this for the umpteenth time: the polls are crap. Yes, three months out, it’s STIL:L too early. Undecideds really start to solidify about two months out. Following the poll numbers is pointless. But who can resist a pretty bouncing ball? At this point in time, I’m still only … Continue reading “Will Harris Hold Onto Her Lead?”