Author Archena Posted on November 30, 2022November 30, 2022Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , ,

Maricopa County: Why Democrats Cheat

There are polls you never see. These are done on behalf of campaigns. Campaigns spend a WHOLE LOT of money on these polls. That doesn’t mean they don’t have issues because all modern polling has issues, but it does mean they should be far more accurate than the garbage aired on the news each night. These polls are done early and often. They are used to guide the strategic planning of a campaign. That sounds worse than it is; polls … Continue reading “Maricopa County: Why Democrats Cheat”

Author Archena Posted on October 27, 2022October 27, 2022Categories WednesdayTags , , , , ,

Golly, The Polls Might Be Wrong Again?

Gee, how can that be? Okay, okay, less sarcasm, more explanation. There are several major factors and a host of minor ones. We’ll cover the majors. First, most polls aren’t done to actually measure voter preference. This is a feature, not a bug. MSNBC, CNN and FOX just want something to fill the dead space. Polls are quick, cheap and sound like something – without being easily checked. Well, at least most folks don’t know how. Five bajillion percent increase … Continue reading “Golly, The Polls Might Be Wrong Again?”

Author Archena Posted on October 14, 2022October 12, 2022Categories FridayTags , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

If You Like Things the Way They are, Don’t Vote

If you’re happy with the system and the administration, stay home. Do nothing. Watch reality TV instead of being involved in reality. Now, if you like the admin but think it could be better, vote. If you are in the majority that is displeased with the admin, vote. Not voting is dumb. The admin is going to take low turnout as approval. This is true in 2022 and will be in 2024, 2026, 2028, 2030 ad infinitum (or at least … Continue reading “If You Like Things the Way They are, Don’t Vote”

Author Archena Posted on September 30, 2022September 30, 2022Categories Current, FridayTags , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Red Wave

There is absolutely nothing nail biting about this year’s midterms. Now, that doesn’t mean they aren’t important. heck, they are likely to be historic. But this is one of the very rare times when the outcome was predictable nearly a year ago. if you haven’t guessed, the Republicans win. I’m aware of the polls because I keep up with guys who analyze them. The polls are doing exactly what was expected, showing some weakening leading into September and a resurgence … Continue reading “Red Wave”

Author Archena Posted on September 9, 2022September 7, 2022Categories 2022, CurrentTags , , , , , ,

Polls: Finally Getting it Right?

July 17, 2022 When they work, poll’s are a great way to get the pulse of a group of people – or a whole population. When they don’t work, you get garbage. Right now, polls probably aren’t working – well, yet. There are two ways to know if a poll is really measuring what its supposed to measure. The first is to get a much bigger poll – we call them elections. The second is to match them up against … Continue reading “Polls: Finally Getting it Right?”

Author Archena Posted on August 24, 2022August 24, 2022Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , , , ,

On Your Mark!

The horses are turning for home! Okay, yeah, I just mixed the metaphor. But in a way, both are correct. The real midterm race begins now. But since the horses have been galloping around for the last eight months it’s also the final few furlongs heading into the election. Either way, this is where it gets interesting. Polls are still garbage. Media polls are big piles of garbage. But to the extent that they do still work when done by … Continue reading “On Your Mark!”