I considered just dumping the blog below this one because it is from last week and I didn’t get around to posting it on time but it shows my work and how I decide what to review when I’m looking at polls. Aggregators like Real Clear Politics are useful because they’ve already hunted down all the wild polls, but averaging is just dumb. I will ignore the average. There are so few good enough polls available right now that I … Continue reading “Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t”
Is Trump Going to Win Big?
My best assessment is that the race is his to lose. I think Trump would have to actively sabotage his own campaign to lose at this point. However, last I looked, I am not omniscient so I could, in fact, be wrong. Not that I’m going to let that stop me. If you wanted omniscient, you’d be praying to the Almighty, not reading my little blog, or watching a silly eagle in a BBQ apron while I ramble on. Now … Continue reading “Is Trump Going to Win Big?”
Why Are the Democrats so Desperate?
Okay, let’s get the important stuff done first. I was wrong about the debate – it was pretty lackluster. For political junkies it had lots to chew on but normal people probably found it kinda so-so. Harris performed better than expected – a lot better – and Trump showed a couple flashes of anger. He’s more entertaining on Twitter. Can’t get ’em all right. But owning one’s mistakes is the first step to not making the same stupid ones again. … Continue reading “Why Are the Democrats so Desperate?”
America Will Survive: The Myth of American Polarization
Heck, it’ll even thrive. The Democrat Party, not so much. For the last several years there has been an incessant drumbeat of polarization. Turn on any outlet, major, minor or just some guy on YouTube and all you will hear is how polarized the US has become. The events of the last three weeks seem to seal the deal for many people. But it’s still not true. America remains as insanely centrist as she’s always been. Seriously, America’s centrism is … Continue reading “America Will Survive: The Myth of American Polarization”
Ten Ways to Tell if You are a Democrook
10) You think it’s perfectly okay to lie, cheat and even steal if it benefits the Democrats but if Republicans so much as jay walk, it’s proof that they are evil. 9) You believe that watching any news source besides MSNBC or NPR makes you a Russian spy – and you’re beginning to doubt CNN. 8) You are convinced that the only way to save democracy is to ensure that only people like you can vote. 7) You have bumper … Continue reading “Ten Ways to Tell if You are a Democrook”
Do Americans Notice the Hypocrisy?
Yep, they sure do. But you can be forgiven for thinking otherwise. Media of all stripes tends to play up the egregious and the stupid. The left assures us all conservatives are mouth breathing morons that hate democracy and science. The right shows us blue haired crazies spouting that nonsense. Free speech is dangerous in the wrong hands and yet the blue haired crazies are out to save democracy. Forget hypocrisy, they can’t even manage logical consistency! Let’s not be … Continue reading “Do Americans Notice the Hypocrisy?”