This week I’ve talked a lot about nation-states and political parties in collapse. These are bad things even when they are likely to ultimately result in good. But as they happen, people get hurt. Lives are altered, destroyed and even lost. It hurts to see the organization you worked so hard for or really believed in crash and burn. At a bare minimum will be economic losses and disruptions. Anyone happy about any of that isn’t thinking too straight. Lately, … Continue reading “Taking No Joy”
Losing the Left is the Best for the West
Normally, I talk American politics on Wednesdays, but this is an issue that really spans both the US and Europe. If anything, it affects Europe to a much greater degree and will be much more difficult for them to deal with. There’s a poison going through Western democracies – leftism. It’s insidious as it masquerades as concern for the underprivileged but instigates policies that do underprivileged people far more harm than good. Leftism is a spectrum – most political movements … Continue reading “Losing the Left is the Best for the West”
When Nation-State Collapse is a Good Thing
Recently, a friend asked me if I understood what a collapse would mean for China. Short answer: yes. Long answer: as much as one can understand before such an event, I believe so, yes. My friend was aghast at the idea that China would collapse because of what it would mean for the people of China and the rest of the world. He’s not wrong to worry about such things but a better question is what happens if China doesn’t … Continue reading “When Nation-State Collapse is a Good Thing”
Is Russia Losing the War with Ukraine?
I’m writing this on September 11, 2022. At this time, the Kharkiv front has collapsed in a rout for the Russians. Ukrainian troops have reached the border and have liberated a large swath of territory on the eastern side of Ukraine. Russian media is having a hard time covering for the defeat. No, that doesn’t mean Russia has lost – yet. But it looks very, very bad. I’m not a military analysis and I don’t play one on TV but … Continue reading “Is Russia Losing the War with Ukraine?”
The Green is Dead, Long Live the Green
Solar and wind are so yesterday. I realize most climate activists haven’t gotten the memo but as grid scale power sources, they are both pretty much toast. Yes, yes, Scotland and the North Sea, most of the US Southwest, et cetera are indeed exceptions. Thing is, that’s exactly what they are: exceptions. Very few places on Earth have enough solar or wind capacity to use those sources at grid scale. Sure, you can pop solar panels on your house almost … Continue reading “The Green is Dead, Long Live the Green”
Is China Collapsing?
Is China collapsing? Yes. Is China collapsing tomorrow? No. Is China collapsing in three days? No. Is China collapsing next week? No. Is China collapsing next month? No. Is China collapsing … How many of these stupid ‘China is collapsing in X days’ videos did you binge?! China is not in its final phase of collapse that I can tell. Nation-states don’t collapse quickly. It takes usually several years from the first domino to the final one. I think we … Continue reading “Is China Collapsing?”
Afghanistan, One Year Later
Is Afghanistan better off after the American withdrawal? Of course not. What were people expecting? Everyone complained how the war had dragged on so long – really? What war? Oh, don’t you look at me like that, what war exactly? We never declared war so technically we were never at war. That aside, the significant hostilities – the part you can legitimately call a war – ended over a decade ago. While hardly a bastion of peace and tranquility, Afghanistan … Continue reading “Afghanistan, One Year Later”
Does America Rule the World?
No. Thanks for dropping by, See you Wednesday for… Aww, come on, can’t you just once accept the short answer? Okay, fine, so make a cranky old lady work. Here’s the long answer: No country rules the world. France, Russia and China would like to; the US is stuck with keeping the kids away from the knives, and all the other nation-states have too many issues at home to even think about it. But, but, world reserve currency, largest navy, … Continue reading “Does America Rule the World?”
What Are You So Scared Of?
Is it just the kids today? I don’t think so. Boomers had similar issues with risk avoidance in the 1980’s but they had also been through the stagflation of the 1970’s. That at least explains part of the Boomer’s risk aversion. But not all of it. Truth is, we grew up in a much more comfy, modern and entertaining world than our parents did. Our parents were convinced TV would rot our brains. Given what happened in the 1960’s, they … Continue reading “What Are You So Scared Of?”
Russia and China, Frenemies Forever
Just because it’s not the end of the world doesn’t mean we can take our eyes off the ball. That’s important because international relations is just like a kindergarten but when nation-states throw tantrums they also throw very nasty things like bombs and bullets. I know, everyone is wringing their hands over the coming of World War Three and nuclear annihilation and monkey pox and every other impeding form of doom. You can stop now. It’s okay. There’s not going … Continue reading “Russia and China, Frenemies Forever”