Author Archena Posted on Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , ,

Will Trump Destroy Ukraine?

Nope. See y’all next… You guys are really into details aren’t you? Okay, from the top. Trump is a businessman and a deal maker. He might not like a given policy but he’s not going to sacrifice all the assets just to dump the policy. If he were going to do stupid stuff like that he’d have pulled out of Afghanistan as disastrously as Biden did. Trump isn’t going to miss a good opportunity for a deal. So yes, he’s … Continue reading “Will Trump Destroy Ukraine?”

Author Archena Posted on Categories Current, MondayTags , , , ,

Will China Attack Russia?

Probably. I know what you’re thinking – China will invade Taiwan. That’s all anyone talks about! Of course they will attack Taiwan! Russia and China are friends! China will definitely invade Taiwan! It’s possible but getting less likely by the day. Maybe by the minute. On paper, China would be a pain in the backside for the US and her allies to fend off and keep out of Taiwan. In reality, China stands no chance whatsoever of defeating Taiwan, let … Continue reading “Will China Attack Russia?”

Author Archena Posted on Categories MondayTags , , ,

What Else is Wrong with BRICS?

All three of you following this blog – thanks, so much! – were probably wondering if the enlargement of BRICS matters, especially after I just got through dismissing BRICS as a potential challenger to the US Dollar. In a word, no. In a much longer word: Bwahahahahahahahahahahaha! <Giggle> Okay, okay, let’s start with the elephant in the room. Saudi Arabia. Give me a sec, I can’t do this with a straight face. Yes, yes, Saudi Arabia has all that oil. … Continue reading “What Else is Wrong with BRICS?”

Author Archena Posted on Categories Current, MondayTags , ,

Throwing BRICS

Yes, yes, I know. The US is being overthrown as the sole superpower. The dollar is being dethroned. ACK! Run for the hills! I believe I’ve mentioned this before but nation states are resilient little buggers. I may not have mentioned that the US invented resilience. Okay, so we didn’t invent it but we did corner the market. We’re that rare nation state that has a hard time destroying itself. Not for the lack of trying but as a nation, … Continue reading “Throwing BRICS”

Author Archena Posted on Categories Current, MondayTags , , ,

Russian Desperation

If you think the coup attempt in Niger is unrelated to the Ukrainian War, you’re sadly mistaken. We’re getting kinda used to the nuclear saber rattling. It barely gets a reaction any longer. But what, you ask, does a coup in Niger have to do with anything? Well, everything. France has close ties to Niger. Niger is a former French colony. At the moment protestors are flying the Russian flag. Russian? Yep. As most of you probably know Russia’s pet … Continue reading “Russian Desperation”

Author Archena Posted on Categories Current, MondayTags , , , , ,

Winning is the Best Way to End a War

It amazes me that so many people forget the lessons of history so very quickly. We were all taught how foolish appeasement had been in the lead up to World War II. So why are so many so convinced that appeasing Russia will end any better? Mostly, because we stink at keeping up with current events that don’t involve celebrities and our favorite entertainment. Name off your ten favorite movies, no problem. Name ten wars going on in the world … Continue reading “Winning is the Best Way to End a War”

Author Archena Posted on Categories MondayTags , , , ,

Banning Cows and Building Coal Fired Power Plants: Climate and World Political Leadership

People tend to act on what they believe. That shouldn’t be a controversial statement. This one might: people tend to act in accordance with what they believe to be true. That isn’t to say that people always act in perfect rational accord with their beliefs. First off, no one is perfectly rational. Second what seems a reasonable response to a belief to one person may be silly to another. However, on the whole, people will tend to act in accord … Continue reading “Banning Cows and Building Coal Fired Power Plants: Climate and World Political Leadership”

Author Archena Posted on Categories MondayTags , , ,

We Still Don’t Understand What Happened in Russia?

They had a mutiny. Probably. Didn’t we cover this already? Y’all do know real life isn’t resolved in an hour, right? It also doesn’t come with a reset button. Okay, okay, so it’s been a week and you’re thinking we’re supposed to actually know something by now. Modern media is not good for humans. That’s what we know. We know that because it’s silly to expect anyone to really know what is going on this early with so many people … Continue reading “We Still Don’t Understand What Happened in Russia?”

Author Archena Posted on Categories MondayTags , , , ,

Russian Coup: Is It All Over Now?

Yes, no and maybe. I’m not being snarky. That’s the real answer right now. I know it’s not the answer you want but it’s the answer you need. I started this blog/podcast/video thing because I was seeing so many people in comment sections scared to death of nothing at all. Make no mistake, Boomers weren’t as well educated as we should have been but we came out a lot better off than the generations behind us. Millennials and Gen Z … Continue reading “Russian Coup: Is It All Over Now?”

Author Archena Posted on Categories SpecialTags , , , , , , ,

Coup or No Coup?

We don’t know. I’m not just being snarky for once. Russian analysts, who are all probably massively underpaid, have trouble figuring out Russian actions under the best of circumstances. These are the worst of circumstances. That means that anyone saying they ‘know’ what exactly is happening in Russia is either lying or delusional. It’s just too early and we have too little reliable information. Peter Zeihan pointed out in one of his videos today that you will be hearing a … Continue reading “Coup or No Coup?”