Author Archena Posted on November 2, 2024November 2, 2024Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,   Leave a comment on Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t

Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t

I considered just dumping the blog below this one because it is from last week and I didn’t get around to posting it on time but it shows my work and how I decide what to review when I’m looking at polls. Aggregators like Real Clear Politics are useful because they’ve already hunted down all the wild polls, but averaging is just dumb. I will ignore the average. There are so few good enough polls available right now that I … Continue reading “Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t”

Author Archena Posted on October 30, 2024October 30, 2024Categories Current, MondayTags , , , , , , , , , , , , ,   Leave a comment on Is Trump Going to Win Big?

Is Trump Going to Win Big?

My best assessment is that the race is his to lose. I think Trump would have to actively sabotage his own campaign to lose at this point. However, last I looked, I am not omniscient so I could, in fact, be wrong. Not that I’m going to let that stop me. If you wanted omniscient, you’d be praying to the Almighty, not reading my little blog, or watching a silly eagle in a BBQ apron while I ramble on. Now … Continue reading “Is Trump Going to Win Big?”

Author Archena Posted on October 17, 2024October 17, 2024Categories WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Harris IS Losing

The three of you who have followed me for more than a week will probably already know that I believed Harris was in fact behind despite what the polling seemed to indicate. Tune in Friday for the long version of why polls are so bad, but today I’m basing my new assessment on a different piece of evidence. I am now convinced that Harris is trailing much worse than we have been lead to believe. I’ve been couching my analysis … Continue reading “Harris IS Losing”

Author Archena Posted on October 16, 2024October 16, 2024Categories MondayTags , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Twenty-One Days: The Final Furlong

What a race! Here they come, around the curve, heading for home! It’s too close to call! Turbo Trump seems to have his second wind but Hyped-Up Harris is pulling out all the stops! They’re neck and neck coming down the stretch. It’s going to be a photo finish! Eh, probably not. As exciting as having a close race makes things, the race is being called by a guy who left his glasses at home. Three weeks out there’s a … Continue reading “Twenty-One Days: The Final Furlong”

Author Archena Posted on August 29, 2024September 2, 2024Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , ,

Who’s Winning Now? Harris or Trump?

Technically, neither. The election is November 5th. No one wins until votes are counted. Sure, I’m being snarky – it’s my schtick – but it brings up a valuable point to remember: only votes count. All else is hot air. That includes your beloved polls, my snarky commentary, the endless talking head parade on a variety of media, rally size or lack thereof, donations whether big or small, the whole campaigning shebang. All of it is just noise. At the … Continue reading “Who’s Winning Now? Harris or Trump?”

Author Archena Posted on August 15, 2024August 15, 2024Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , ,

Will Harris Hold Onto Her Lead?

July 21, 2024: Democrats: Yay, we have a candidate that isn’t Biden! July 22, 2024: Democrats: Oh, our candidate is Harris. Yay? August 6, 2024: Democrats: Crap. Okay, I’m going to say this for the umpteenth time: the polls are crap. Yes, three months out, it’s STIL:L too early. Undecideds really start to solidify about two months out. Following the poll numbers is pointless. But who can resist a pretty bouncing ball? At this point in time, I’m still only … Continue reading “Will Harris Hold Onto Her Lead?”

Author Archena Posted on August 2, 2024August 2, 2024Categories Current, MondayTags , , , , , , , , ,

Honeymoon or Nightmare? Harris’ First Week as Candidate

The new polls are out. They may or may not matter. Depends, with them being right on the heels of Biden’s ouster, the public’s opinion may not have caught up with the Democrat whiplash. But, since when are we going to let a little thing like commonsense get in the way of endless analysis? Well, if you watch any of the legacy media, commonsense has definitely lost. The Democrat cheerleaders like MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC and even CNN are singing … Continue reading “Honeymoon or Nightmare? Harris’ First Week as Candidate”

Author Archena Posted on July 25, 2024July 26, 2024Categories Current, FridayTags , , , , , , , , ,

Is Trump Going to Win?

I wrote a post with this title back in May. Things happened and I didn’t get around to publishing it. You can find it and the audio at the bottom of this page. Sorry, audio and video folks, you can only see it on Quill Sword dot net, link in the description. It’s probably worth a read but you’ve already seen the ending. Back in May, my answer to the question of whether or not Trump will win was probably. … Continue reading “Is Trump Going to Win?”