Posted on January 18, 2023January 17, 2023Categories WednesdayTags , , , ,

Joe Liedn

This comes as a surprise to who, exactly? Biden has been in politics for over forty years and the butt of jokes for most of that time. Being a Southerner, I suspect he only survived this long because he came from Delaware – they all knew him and couldn’t find anyone better who’d run in such a tiny state. Okay, that’s probably not what happened. States get a really bad case of ‘familiaritis’ where they continue to elect the same … Continue reading “Joe Liedn”

Posted on January 13, 2023January 7, 2023Categories Current, FridayTags , , , , , ,

Politics are About People

Politics is just groups of people making decisions. We stink at it which makes the political world hilarious and tragic. It’d be a great sitcom. The problem is that the political world affects real people all the time. Every day. Every hour. Every minute. So the answer to the question of why you should care about those idiots in Washington or on Goat Hill or down at the county courthouse or in city hall or on the school board is … Continue reading “Politics are About People”

Posted on December 18, 2022December 18, 2022Categories FridayTags , , , , , , , , ,

Seniority in Congress is a Major Problem

Every time Congress commits some new outrage, I mean bigger than their average weekly outrages, the cry goes out far and wide for term limits. This has been going on unsuccessfully for decades. Such movements come and go and rarely gain any momentum. Why? Well, there are a variety of answers. The most common is the incumbent advantage: people tend to stick with a known quantity and so will vote for even a bad incumbent over a total unknown. Incumbents … Continue reading “Seniority in Congress is a Major Problem”

Posted on December 7, 2022December 7, 2022Categories WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , , ,

Georgia: Why Republicans Hate Their Base

This is actually nothing new. Originally – at least in this party system – the Republicans were the party of the rich, the elite, the businessman and the fiscal conservative. In the Seventies, this began to shift as fewer middle class and virtually the entire South felt betrayed by the heretofore working class/middle class representative Democrats. That bit about the South is included because it is a good object lesson for the modern Republicans. See, Civil Rights as an issue … Continue reading “Georgia: Why Republicans Hate Their Base”

Posted on December 6, 2022December 6, 2022Categories Current, MondayTags , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Failure of Realpolitik

Political Scientists like to think they are real scientists. Sometimes, they even are. Most times, they are analysts. But since the field has science in the name, they try very, very hard to be a sciency as possible. The results can be fairly comical. Scientist or analyst, they still need frameworks to work from. America has 330 million people and 22,000 plus governments. Making sense of that without some kind of framework is impossible. The world has 195 countries, not … Continue reading “The Failure of Realpolitik”

Posted on November 30, 2022November 30, 2022Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , ,

Maricopa County: Why Democrats Cheat

There are polls you never see. These are done on behalf of campaigns. Campaigns spend a WHOLE LOT of money on these polls. That doesn’t mean they don’t have issues because all modern polling has issues, but it does mean they should be far more accurate than the garbage aired on the news each night. These polls are done early and often. They are used to guide the strategic planning of a campaign. That sounds worse than it is; polls … Continue reading “Maricopa County: Why Democrats Cheat”

Posted on November 26, 2022November 26, 2022Categories Current, FridayTags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Government: Parent or Pet?

The Twentieth Century was a contest between competing political ideologies. It is a gross oversimplification to say that it was just between Communism and Capitalism or Authoritarianism and Democracy. Politics exists on a spectrum and no matter how hard we try, there are too many issues to have even two people agree on every single one, let alone whole nation-states of people. But since I’m still not interested in writing a dissertation, we’ll settle for the generalization. The Twentieth Century … Continue reading “Government: Parent or Pet?”

Posted on November 17, 2022November 17, 2022Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Republicans Take Control of the House!

November 17, 2022 The first announcements broke early Wednesday but confirmation reports didn’t come until Wednesday evening. Fox didn’t show the 218 count until this morning. The media covered Trump’s announcement that he is running for president extensively, but barely a whimper about the upset. Oh well, it only took eight days to find out. Isn’t twenty-first century tech great? I decided to delay my post until I had confirmation. I am not yet willing to analyze the midterms mostly … Continue reading “Republicans Take Control of the House!”

Posted on November 11, 2022November 11, 2022Categories Current, FridayTags , , , , , , ,

Stop Panicking. Democrats Just Can’t Count

The margin will be narrower than I’d thought but it seems very unlikely Republicans won’t take the House. The chances of taking the Senate are still decent. Can we please stop acting like the world is ending? Once the results ACTUALLY come in, we need to take a hard look at what exactly happened here. I’d love to blame the polls but since I wasn’t using them, that would be silly. The results we have so far do cast a … Continue reading “Stop Panicking. Democrats Just Can’t Count”

Posted on November 9, 2022November 9, 2022Categories Current, WednesdayTags , , , , , , ,

And the Winner is… Please Stand By

You’re not going to like my take on the midterms right now. It is too early to analyze the results – or lack thereof – correctly. Therefore, I’m not going to offer an analysis at this time. Once the results are in and events shake out over the next three to four days, I’ll have something to work with and do a reasonable analysis. I know, lots and lots of talking heads are telling you all about the disaster or … Continue reading “And the Winner is… Please Stand By”