Probably. I know what you’re thinking – China will invade Taiwan. That’s all anyone talks about! Of course they will attack Taiwan! Russia and China are friends! China will definitely invade Taiwan! It’s possible but getting less likely by the day. Maybe by the minute. On paper, China would be a pain in the backside for the US and her allies to fend off and keep out of Taiwan. In reality, China stands no chance whatsoever of defeating Taiwan, let … Continue reading “Will China Attack Russia?”
Why Hasn’t China Collapsed Yet?
Because nation-states are resilient little devils. See y’all Wednesday! You’re looking at me like you want details. You know I hate details! Okay, okay, so here goes. Despite all the YouTube videos swearing that China will collapse in 38 days, China hasn’t collapsed after nearly eight months. Well, first off, if some kid in his basement can figure out when China is going belly up, so can China. The CCP is kinda attached to staying in power so once they … Continue reading “Why Hasn’t China Collapsed Yet?”
Why Russia Matters if China is the Enemy
Because everything is interrelated. There ya go, a college edumacation in one sentence. You know, these posts would be a lot shorter if y’all’d just figure out all the details. Okay, okay, here goes: Realists are wrong; the international game isn’t a single board with only a few main players. In reality (pun left in because it’s funny), international relations are twenty different games being played by two hundred players all at once and with a lot of pieces missing. … Continue reading “Why Russia Matters if China is the Enemy”
COVID 19 Time for Truth: China Edition
I am a cranky old lady with 18 years disease control experience, two degrees in Political Science and no patience left for nonsense. Any questions? No? Good. The entire response to the panicdemic was botched. The WHO and ESPECIALLY the CDC knew better than the crap they were pulling. We here in the United States have over EIGHTY YEARS of successful disease intervention. We lead the charge in ERADICATING small pox. We DANGED WELL know how to handle a respiratory … Continue reading “COVID 19 Time for Truth: China Edition”
Protests and Unrest in China
Okay, those of you that think this is a bad sign for the CCP and that China could collapse, you’re not wrong. Those of you who think China probably won’t collapse aren’t wrong either. Nation-states are resilient and this is not China’s first rodeo. But it is their first ride on a bull this big. So, what does it mean? Well, it means the CCP has pulled off something once believed to be nearly impossible – they have found the … Continue reading “Protests and Unrest in China”
Poverty with Chinese Characteristics
Xi Xinping is not an idiot. He is also not a capitalist or an opportunist. Not sure if he’s an ideologue, I kinda doubt it. He’s not power mad, or a raving lunatic. Cold blooded SOB is a given since he heads the CCP – it’s a prerequisite. Xi Xinping is not leading China toward greatness. He might or might not know that. He’s not going to be invading Taiwan anytime soon. He’s not a madman. Xi is what you … Continue reading “Poverty with Chinese Characteristics”
Taking No Joy
This week I’ve talked a lot about nation-states and political parties in collapse. These are bad things even when they are likely to ultimately result in good. But as they happen, people get hurt. Lives are altered, destroyed and even lost. It hurts to see the organization you worked so hard for or really believed in crash and burn. At a bare minimum will be economic losses and disruptions. Anyone happy about any of that isn’t thinking too straight. Lately, … Continue reading “Taking No Joy”
When Nation-State Collapse is a Good Thing
Recently, a friend asked me if I understood what a collapse would mean for China. Short answer: yes. Long answer: as much as one can understand before such an event, I believe so, yes. My friend was aghast at the idea that China would collapse because of what it would mean for the people of China and the rest of the world. He’s not wrong to worry about such things but a better question is what happens if China doesn’t … Continue reading “When Nation-State Collapse is a Good Thing”
Is China Collapsing?
Is China collapsing? Yes. Is China collapsing tomorrow? No. Is China collapsing in three days? No. Is China collapsing next week? No. Is China collapsing next month? No. Is China collapsing … How many of these stupid ‘China is collapsing in X days’ videos did you binge?! China is not in its final phase of collapse that I can tell. Nation-states don’t collapse quickly. It takes usually several years from the first domino to the final one. I think we … Continue reading “Is China Collapsing?”
China’s Temper Tantrum is Not a Sign of Strength; It’s a Sign of Extreme Weakness
I suppose it’s not really a surprise when generations raised to literally believe that the sky is falling panic at the least sign of strife, domestic or international. Idiotic headlines of ‘Will Pelosi’s Trip to Taiwan Trigger World War Three’ and talking heads pontificating about the economic fallout certainly don’t help but it’s really the military response that’s scaring the pants off people. You can relax. This isn’t the start of WWIII. It’s just the Chinese Communist Party flailing about … Continue reading “China’s Temper Tantrum is Not a Sign of Strength; It’s a Sign of Extreme Weakness”