Dang, you’re impatient, aren’t cha?
The reality is that it’ll take forever then happen instantly. That doesn’t really help, I know, but remember that not just one person is deciding to click the switch. Hundreds will be involved in the leadership decisions as consultants and analysists try to earn their paychecks. Tens of thousands of rank and file voters will be making their preferences known, probably loudly and pointedly. Millions of Democrats will hit social media and voting booths – a few smart ones will write real letters – providing the juice to keep the ol’ Democrat engine running.
That adds up to a lot of headless chickens trying to save a drowned duck. It’s gonna be a while before they realize that the duck is dead and so are they.
The Democrat Party has funding and manpower. It will try to save itself. That will look a LOT like CNN’s current effort to do the same and for the same reason. Neither understands voters any longer. They have been pandering to a very small, very select and more than a little crazy clientele for way too long. The Democrat leadership actually began believing all that nonsense about institutional racism and privilege, equity over equality, gender being undefined and men being able to fairly compete in sports against women, among a host of other stupid things they have been spouting for over a decade.
If you don’t believe in something, you’ll believe in everything, so the saying goes. It’s a convenient fiction that lets the Democrats blame the voters rather than their own disconnect for their declining political fortunes. It’s also massively self destructing.
So, how soon? Not soon enough for most of us and way too soon for them. Okay, okay, my real guess is between six months and three years. Indicting Trump was insanely stupid. The older neocons are dying out and won’t be able to save the Democrats even if they want to which I am becoming increasingly dubious of. Neocons are survivors if not the sharpest political tools in the shed. They see the way the wind is blowing and many will start tacking with the wind.
Without the neocons to moderate the more activists Republicans, the Democrats are going to find out very fast that changing the rules to benefit yourselves has a nasty habit of benefiting your opponents in ways you didn’t foresee. I personally think the ‘Republicans won’t play by the same rules because they want to preserve the Republic’ is complete bunk. Playing by the actual rules, not the discarded ones, is the only way to win.
Think of it this way. You’re playing Monopoly with someone who always puts the fines into the center and collects them when landing on Free Parking. You play strictly by the rules in the rule book and don’t collect the pot when landing on Free Parking. You are going to lose. Your opponent has a massive advantage that you could use yourself but won’t because you want to play by the old rules.
The best solution is to agree on the rules beforehand but sometimes folks don’t realize the rules have variations. The game is already in progress. Playing by disadvantaged rules rather than the actual rules is dumb. It’s a losing strategy.
To win, you play by the same rules as everyone else. To win fairly, you play fairly – by those rules, even if they are stupid. This is part of what the neocons have been doing for the last two decades except they played to come in second.
It’s time for Republicans to play to win. Party system shifts, which is what we’re seeing, don’t have to be limited to the collapse of one party. Historically, there have been several cases where both parties collapsed pretty much at the same time (remember, political times are longer than they appear). If the Republicans choose to come in second, they will collapse just as assuredly. Heck, the Republicans are much easier to replace – Trump could start the Patriot Party with nearly no effort – where the Democrats are going to have a long floundering as they collapse.
I suspect the Democrat collapse has already begun but it won’t be obvious until it’s over. But the theory that the Democrats can survive this is just wishful thinking. Democrats have no connection to the normal, every day, non-crazy voters even on their own side of the spectrum. They lost ground in the census and their ability to cheat their way into office is fast declining just from the shift in the electoral college alone.
Conservatives aren’t nearly as loyal to the Republican Party as Democrats are to their party. That translates to a grassroots that is taking back the election system no matter what the Republican leadership does. It’s not nearly as fast as we’d like but it’s definitely happening. Cheating in the 2020 election sealed the Democrats fate; indicting Trump just threw gas on the funeral pyre.
A few more stupid stunts like that and the Democrats won’t even last six months. On the bright side, the Pink Pride Party won’t replace them. Depending on how bad this goes, they may not be replaced from within but by splinters off the left side of the Republican Party. The Democrats have got to regain some sort of centrist base to reform into anything.
Almost certainly without pink hair.