Being gracious in victory is more important than being gracious in defeat. We’ll get back to that very important thought. In the meantime WOO HOO!!!! We won!!! Yippee! The cherry on top was how hysterically wrong the analyses based on the polls were! I am not sure which made me more nervous: that Trump might not win or that the stupid polls might actually be right. Broken clocks are right twice a day. They make you look stupid for a … Continue reading “VICTORY!”
Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t
I considered just dumping the blog below this one because it is from last week and I didn’t get around to posting it on time but it shows my work and how I decide what to review when I’m looking at polls. Aggregators like Real Clear Politics are useful because they’ve already hunted down all the wild polls, but averaging is just dumb. I will ignore the average. There are so few good enough polls available right now that I … Continue reading “Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t”
Can Harris Win?
Duh, of course she can. At this point her only hope appears to be that most of Trump’s supporters decide not to vote, but that would give her the victory. Any hope in a storm, I suppose. I realize the three of you that clicked on this are only here for the proverbial popcorn and because you wanted to yell at me in the comments, but the point is still important. People are naturally lazy. Civic duty loses out to … Continue reading “Can Harris Win?”
Harris IS Losing
The three of you who have followed me for more than a week will probably already know that I believed Harris was in fact behind despite what the polling seemed to indicate. Tune in Friday for the long version of why polls are so bad, but today I’m basing my new assessment on a different piece of evidence. I am now convinced that Harris is trailing much worse than we have been lead to believe. I’ve been couching my analysis … Continue reading “Harris IS Losing”
Why Are the Democrats so Desperate?
Okay, let’s get the important stuff done first. I was wrong about the debate – it was pretty lackluster. For political junkies it had lots to chew on but normal people probably found it kinda so-so. Harris performed better than expected – a lot better – and Trump showed a couple flashes of anger. He’s more entertaining on Twitter. Can’t get ’em all right. But owning one’s mistakes is the first step to not making the same stupid ones again. … Continue reading “Why Are the Democrats so Desperate?”
We Won’t Forget, 9/11/2001
It was twenty-three years ago. Seems like yesterday. Still doesn’t seem completely real. It wasn’t the first attack on the Twin Towers. In 1993 a truck bomb was set off in the basement of the North Tower, killing six and injuring over one thousand. The towers would reopen in less than six weeks despite the heavy damage. It was a deadly prelude to the September 11th attacks. I had heard about the first plane just before leaving for work as … Continue reading “We Won’t Forget, 9/11/2001”
Who’s Winning Now? Harris or Trump?
Technically, neither. The election is November 5th. No one wins until votes are counted. Sure, I’m being snarky – it’s my schtick – but it brings up a valuable point to remember: only votes count. All else is hot air. That includes your beloved polls, my snarky commentary, the endless talking head parade on a variety of media, rally size or lack thereof, donations whether big or small, the whole campaigning shebang. All of it is just noise. At the … Continue reading “Who’s Winning Now? Harris or Trump?”
Will Harris Hold Onto Her Lead?
July 21, 2024: Democrats: Yay, we have a candidate that isn’t Biden! July 22, 2024: Democrats: Oh, our candidate is Harris. Yay? August 6, 2024: Democrats: Crap. Okay, I’m going to say this for the umpteenth time: the polls are crap. Yes, three months out, it’s STIL:L too early. Undecideds really start to solidify about two months out. Following the poll numbers is pointless. But who can resist a pretty bouncing ball? At this point in time, I’m still only … Continue reading “Will Harris Hold Onto Her Lead?”
Olympic Level Malice
Childless cat lady here. Overweight, virgin, disabled and Christian. All the things that it’s okay to make fun of nowadays. Also, cranky and not taking any of the nonsense. Losers punch down. Why bother worrying about what losers think? If you’re the kind of loser who thinks you have to denigrate others in order to improve yourself, you’re not only a loser but you’re going to stay a loser. Until you figure out that kicking the guy who’s down just … Continue reading “Olympic Level Malice”
America Will Survive: The Myth of American Polarization
Heck, it’ll even thrive. The Democrat Party, not so much. For the last several years there has been an incessant drumbeat of polarization. Turn on any outlet, major, minor or just some guy on YouTube and all you will hear is how polarized the US has become. The events of the last three weeks seem to seal the deal for many people. But it’s still not true. America remains as insanely centrist as she’s always been. Seriously, America’s centrism is … Continue reading “America Will Survive: The Myth of American Polarization”