Current – Quill Sword

Archena November 7, 2024November 7, 2024Wednesday2024 election, Biden administration, conservative blog, conservative values, election celebration, gracious in victory, Political analysis, political commentary, polling inaccuracies, public support, Trump landslide, Trump supporters, Trump victory, U.S. Politics Leave a comment

VICTORY!

Being gracious in victory is more important than being gracious in defeat. We’ll get back to that very important thought. In the meantime WOO HOO!!!! We won!!! Yippee! The cherry on top was how hysterically wrong the analyses based on the polls were! I am not sure which made me more nervous: that Trump might not win or that the stupid polls might actually be right. Broken clocks are right twice a day. They make you look stupid for a … Continue reading “VICTORY!”

Archena November 4, 2024November 4, 2024Current, Specialcivic duty, democracy in action, election 2024, election motivation, every vote counts, excuses not to vote, get out and vote, importance of voting, political change, political engagement, vote in elections, voter turnout, Voting, voting tips, Why vote Leave a comment

Vote! Vote! VOTE!!!

In case that title is too subtle for you, get off your duff and go VOTE! I don’t want to hear the usual stupid excuses. My vote doesn’t count! Really? How do they know to count all those other votes and not yours? The only way to win is to have the most votes. That the other guy got votes too doesn’t negate the votes cast for the winner. Sure, the extra votes received are what puts the candidate over … Continue reading “Vote! Vote! VOTE!!!”

Archena November 2, 2024November 2, 2024Current, Wednesdayconservative analysis, election 2024, election predictions, Media bias, political rallies, poll aggregation, poll reliability, polling accuracy, polling bias, polling limitations, Real Clear Politics, small sample size, swing states, Trump support, voter sentiment Leave a comment

Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t

I considered just dumping the blog below this one because it is from last week and I didn’t get around to posting it on time but it shows my work and how I decide what to review when I’m looking at polls. Aggregators like Real Clear Politics are useful because they’ve already hunted down all the wild polls, but averaging is just dumb. I will ignore the average. There are so few good enough polls available right now that I … Continue reading “Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t”

Archena October 30, 2024October 30, 2024Current, Mondayblue states flipping, campaign momentum, conservative blog, election predictions, Electoral College, Madison Square Garden rally, Media bias, political rallies, political trends, poll analysis, swing states, Trump 2024, Trump vs Harris, voter enthusiasm Leave a comment

Is Trump Going to Win Big?

My best assessment is that the race is his to lose. I think Trump would have to actively sabotage his own campaign to lose at this point. However, last I looked, I am not omniscient so I could, in fact, be wrong. Not that I’m going to let that stop me. If you wanted omniscient, you’d be praying to the Almighty, not reading my little blog, or watching a silly eagle in a BBQ apron while I ramble on. Now … Continue reading “Is Trump Going to Win Big?”

Archena October 24, 2024October 24, 2024Current, Wednesday2024 election, civic duty, conservative perspective, down ballot voting, Election strategy, election upset, Kamala Harris, political commentary, Politics, Presidential Election, Trump supporters, Voter apathy, voter turnout, voting importance, voting motivation

Can Harris Win?

Duh, of course she can. At this point her only hope appears to be that most of Trump’s supporters decide not to vote, but that would give her the victory. Any hope in a storm, I suppose. I realize the three of you that clicked on this are only here for the proverbial popcorn and because you wanted to yell at me in the comments, but the point is still important. People are naturally lazy. Civic duty loses out to … Continue reading “Can Harris Win?”

Archena October 17, 2024October 17, 2024Wednesday2024 election, ActBlue scandal, Democrat donors, election analysis, election predictions, Electoral College, fraudulent donations, Harris campaign, Kamala Harris, political commentary, poll manipulation, small donor fraud, Trump lead, Trump victory, Trump vs Harris

Harris IS Losing

The three of you who have followed me for more than a week will probably already know that I believed Harris was in fact behind despite what the polling seemed to indicate. Tune in Friday for the long version of why polls are so bad, but today I’m basing my new assessment on a different piece of evidence. I am now convinced that Harris is trailing much worse than we have been lead to believe. I’ve been couching my analysis … Continue reading “Harris IS Losing”

Archena October 16, 2024October 16, 2024Mondayblue state flip, campaign strategy, election 2024, election predictions, Electoral College, Harris campaign, political rallies, polls analysis, Real Clear Politics, small donors, Trump rallies, Trump vs Harris, undecided voters, voter enthusiasm

Twenty-One Days: The Final Furlong

What a race! Here they come, around the curve, heading for home! It’s too close to call! Turbo Trump seems to have his second wind but Hyped-Up Harris is pulling out all the stops! They’re neck and neck coming down the stretch. It’s going to be a photo finish! Eh, probably not. As exciting as having a close race makes things, the race is being called by a guy who left his glasses at home. Three weeks out there’s a … Continue reading “Twenty-One Days: The Final Furlong”

Archena October 8, 2024October 8, 2024Current, Monday2024 election, Biden approval rating, conservative commentary, Donald Trump, economic concerns, election polls, Electoral College, Kamala Harris, margin of error, political forecasting, polling data analysis, swing states, US presidential race, voter volatility

Is Harris Going to Win?

Probably not. We won’t know until all those votes get counted. So VOTE! You are one of those ‘give us the details’ people, aren’t you? Fine, let’s break the race down so far: Polls Real Clear Politics is our aggregator of choice. Habit is the main reason but you can call it ‘consistency’ if that sounds all sciency to you. We’re going to go fast through this first part so you may want to look at the blog or video … Continue reading “Is Harris Going to Win?”

Archena October 2, 2024October 2, 2024Current, Specialcharity donations, community support, disaster recovery, disaster relief, faith in crisis, helping others, Hurricane Helene, prayer for victims, storm aftermath, volunteer opportunities

A Word About Hurricane Helene

Dear Lord, Thank You that it wasn’t worse and for all those You protected. Now, Father, please give us as individuals, as communities, as churches and as a nation the strength to help all those in need. All those displaced. All those without supplies. All those without power. All those desperately seeking loved ones. All those hurt and injured. All those grieving. All those still missing. All those still in need of rescue. All of them. Grant us the strength … Continue reading “A Word About Hurricane Helene”

Archena September 21, 2024September 21, 2024Current, Wednesday2024 election, Democratic Party, Election Interference, Kamala Harris, Media bias, political corruption, presidential debate, Trump 2024, Trump administration, Trump vs Democrats

Why Are the Democrats so Desperate?

Okay, let’s get the important stuff done first. I was wrong about the debate – it was pretty lackluster. For political junkies it had lots to chew on but normal people probably found it kinda so-so. Harris performed better than expected – a lot better – and Trump showed a couple flashes of anger. He’s more entertaining on Twitter. Can’t get ’em all right. But owning one’s mistakes is the first step to not making the same stupid ones again. … Continue reading “Why Are the Democrats so Desperate?”

Category Current

Category: Current

VICTORY!

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Vote! Vote! VOTE!!!

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Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t

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Is Trump Going to Win Big?

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Can Harris Win?

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Harris IS Losing

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Twenty-One Days: The Final Furlong

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Is Harris Going to Win?

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A Word About Hurricane Helene

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Why Are the Democrats so Desperate?

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